Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.013510 0.015681 0.018077 0.020915 0.024185 0.027832 0.032207
2026-01-25 0.010016 0.012754 0.016053 0.020312 0.025661 0.032152 0.040622
2026-02-01 0.007774 0.010725 0.014558 0.019888 0.027096 0.036491 0.049655
2026-02-08 0.006261 0.009270 0.013446 0.019643 0.028579 0.040975 0.059448
2026-02-15 0.005076 0.008008 0.012327 0.019117 0.029489 0.044691 0.068618
2026-02-22 0.004483 0.007486 0.012150 0.019871 0.032279 0.051375 0.082911
2026-03-01 0.003844 0.006766 0.011534 0.019811 0.033752 0.056189 0.094910
2026-03-08 0.003208 0.005934 0.010592 0.019049 0.033930 0.058900 0.103799
2026-03-15 0.002788 0.005400 0.010059 0.018874 0.035025 0.063189 0.115772
2026-03-22 0.002604 0.005262 0.010190 0.019876 0.038288 0.071536 0.135771
2026-03-29 0.002380 0.005008 0.010069 0.020381 0.040684 0.078587 0.154238
2026-04-05 0.002066 0.004526 0.009439 0.019811 0.040950 0.081714 0.165697
2026-04-12 0.001828 0.004167 0.009014 0.019612 0.041960 0.086462 0.181060
2026-04-19 0.001594 0.003777 0.008468 0.019087 0.042236 0.089805 0.194056
2026-04-26 0.001404 0.003457 0.008023 0.018708 0.042763 0.093705 0.208663
2026-05-03 0.001253 0.003198 0.007674 0.018487 0.043591 0.098310 0.225293
2026-05-10 0.001103 0.002919 0.007235 0.017997 0.043746 0.101474 0.239145
2026-05-17 0.001045 0.002860 0.007305 0.018710 0.046761 0.111286 0.269044
2026-05-24 0.000950 0.002686 0.007072 0.018655 0.047945 0.117080 0.290379
2026-05-31 0.000831 0.002432 0.006601 0.017937 0.047413 0.118816 0.302338
2026-06-07 0.000754 0.002276 0.006359 0.017773 0.048242 0.123883 0.322941
2026-06-14 0.000732 0.002276 0.006528 0.018718 0.052048 0.136649 0.364100
2026-06-21 0.000692 0.002215 0.006525 0.019194 0.054679 0.146773 0.399727